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Arsenal v Liverpool, Premier League 2014–15

ArsenalArsenal

Bellerín 37'Özil 40'Sánchez 45'Giroud 90+1'

Final score 4 to 1

Expected goals 1.4 to 1.6

Full time

LiverpoolLiverpool

Henderson 76' penalty

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 52%, draw 22%, Liverpool win 26%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Liverpool
ArsenalLiverpool
1.41.6
4Goals1
1.21.6