Arsenal v Newcastle United, Premier League 2014–15
ArsenalArsenal
Giroud 15', 58'Cazorla 54', 88' penalty
Final score 4 to 1
Expected goals 2.5 to 0.9
NewcastleNewcastle United
Pérez 63'
- Date Saturday, December 13, 2014
- Premier League 2014–15
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 13. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 69%, draw 18%, Newcastle win 13%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 13. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.9 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.5 | ||