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Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur, Premier League 2014–15

ArsenalArsenal

Oxlade-Chamberlain 74'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.9 to 0.9

Full time

TottenhamTottenham Hotspur

Chadli 56'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 61%, draw 19%, Tottenham win 20%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 27. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Tottenham
ArsenalTottenham
0.90.9
1Goals1
1.41.3