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Aston Villa v Arsenal, Premier League 2014–15

Aston VillaAston Villa

Final score 0 to 3

Expected goals 0.5 to 1.0

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Özil 32'Welbeck 34'Cissokho 36' (OG)

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Aston Villa win 22%, draw 21%, Arsenal win 57%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 20. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Aston Villa and Arsenal
Aston VillaArsenal
0.51.0
0Goals3
0.91.8