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Aston Villa v Chelsea, Premier League 2014–15

Aston VillaAston Villa

Okore 48'

Final score 1 to 2

Expected goals 0.7 to 0.9

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Hazard 8'Ivanovic 66'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Aston Villa win 12%, draw 21%, Chelsea win 67%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 7. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Aston Villa and Chelsea
Aston VillaChelsea
0.70.9
1Goals2
1.11.5