Aston Villa v Everton, Premier League 2014–15
Aston VillaAston Villa
Benteke 10', 45'Cleverley 64'
Final score 3 to 2
Expected goals 1.1 to 1.6
EvertonEverton
Lukaku 59' penaltyJagielka 90+2'
- Date Saturday, May 2, 2015
- Premier League 2014–15
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 2. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Everton favored. Aston Villa win 30%, draw 28%, Everton win 42%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 2. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Everton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.6 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.7 | ||