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Aston Villa v Manchester United, Premier League 2014–15

Aston VillaAston Villa

Benteke 18'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.8 to 1.1

Full time

Man UnitedManchester United

Falcao 53'

Win chances: Man United favored. Aston Villa win 24%, draw 24%, Man United win 52%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 20. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Aston Villa and Man United
Aston VillaMan United
0.81.1
1Goals1
1.11.6