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Aston Villa v Southampton, Premier League 2014–15

Aston VillaAston Villa

Agbonlahor 29'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.8 to 1.5

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Clyne 81'

Win chances: Southampton favored. Aston Villa win 24%, draw 24%, Southampton win 52%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 24. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Aston Villa and Southampton
Aston VillaSouthampton
0.81.5
1Goals1
0.91.8