Burnley v Aston Villa, Premier League 2014–15
BurnleyBurnley
Ings 87' penalty
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 1.6 to 1.9
Aston VillaAston Villa
Cole 38'
- Date Saturday, November 29, 2014
- Premier League 2014–15
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 29. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Burnley favored. Burnley win 43%, draw 26%, Aston Villa win 31%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 29. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.9 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.5 | ||