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Burnley v Southampton, Premier League 2014–15

BurnleyBurnley

Barnes 73'

Final score 1 to 0

Expected goals 0.3 to 1.6

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Win chances: Southampton favored. Burnley win 25%, draw 25%, Southampton win 50%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 13. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Burnley and Southampton
BurnleySouthampton
0.31.6
1Goals0
0.42.3