Chelsea v Arsenal, Premier League 2014–15
ChelseaChelsea
Hazard 27' penaltyCosta 78'
Final score 2 to 0
Expected goals 1.3 to 0.8
ArsenalArsenal
- Date Sunday, October 5, 2014
- Premier League 2014–15
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 5. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 58%, draw 22%, Arsenal win 20%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 5. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.8 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 1.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.0 | ||