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Chelsea v Aston Villa, Premier League 2014–15

ChelseaChelsea

Oscar 7'Costa 59'Willian 79'

Final score 3 to 0

Expected goals 1.4 to 0.5

Full time

Aston VillaAston Villa

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 80%, draw 13%, Aston Villa win 7%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 27. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Chelsea and Aston Villa
ChelseaAston Villa
1.40.5
3Goals0
2.10.7