Chelsea v Aston Villa, Premier League 2014–15
ChelseaChelsea
Oscar 7'Costa 59'Willian 79'
Final score 3 to 0
Expected goals 1.4 to 0.5
Aston VillaAston Villa
- Date Saturday, September 27, 2014
- Premier League 2014–15
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 27. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 80%, draw 13%, Aston Villa win 7%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 27. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.5 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.7 | ||