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Chelsea v Swansea City, Premier League 2014–15

ChelseaChelsea

Costa 45', 56', 67'Rémy 81'

Final score 4 to 2

Expected goals 2.7 to 0.9

Full time

SwanseaSwansea City

Terry 11' (OG)Shelvey 86'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 70%, draw 18%, Swansea win 12%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 13. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Chelsea and Swansea
ChelseaSwansea
2.70.9
4Goals2
2.40.5