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Crystal Palace v Chelsea, Premier League 2014–15

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Campbell 90'

Final score 1 to 2

Expected goals 0.6 to 0.9

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Oscar 6'Fàbregas 51'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Crystal Palace win 16%, draw 22%, Chelsea win 62%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 18. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Crystal Palace and Chelsea
Crystal PalaceChelsea
0.60.9
1Goals2
1.11.6