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Crystal Palace v Stoke City, Premier League 2014–15

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

McArthur 11'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.7 to 0.8

Full time

StokeStoke City

Crouch 13'

Win chances: Crystal Palace favored. Crystal Palace win 41%, draw 28%, Stoke win 31%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 13. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Crystal Palace and Stoke
Crystal PalaceStoke
0.70.8
1Goals1
1.21.4