Everton v Aston Villa, Premier League 2014–15
EvertonEverton
Jagielka 18'Lukaku 48'Coleman 76'
Final score 3 to 0
Expected goals 1.3 to 1.0
Aston VillaAston Villa
- Date Saturday, October 18, 2014
- Premier League 2014–15
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 18. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Everton favored. Everton win 68%, draw 18%, Aston Villa win 14%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 18. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Everton | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.0 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 1.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.2 | ||