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Liverpool v Southampton, Premier League 2014–15

LiverpoolLiverpool

Sterling 23'Sturridge 79'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 1.3 to 1.3

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Clyne 56'

Win chances: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 69%, draw 15%, Southampton win 16%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 17. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Liverpool and Southampton
LiverpoolSouthampton
1.31.3
2Goals1
1.41.4