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Manchester City v Aston Villa, Premier League 2014–15

Man CityManchester City

Agüero 3'Kolarov 66'Fernandinho 89'

Final score 3 to 2

Expected goals 0.9 to 0.9

Full time

Aston VillaAston Villa

Cleverley 68'Sánchez 85'

Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 80%, draw 13%, Aston Villa win 7%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 25. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man City and Aston Villa
Man CityAston Villa
0.90.9
3Goals2
1.31.4