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Manchester United v Aston Villa, Premier League 2014–15

Man UnitedManchester United

Herrera 43', 90+2'Rooney 79'

Final score 3 to 1

Expected goals 1.7 to 0.7

Full time

Aston VillaAston Villa

Benteke 80'

Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 70%, draw 19%, Aston Villa win 11%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man United and Aston Villa
Man UnitedAston Villa
1.70.7
3Goals1
2.10.7