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Manchester United v Burnley, Premier League 2014–15

Man UnitedManchester United

Smalling 6', 45+3'van Persie 82' penalty

Final score 3 to 1

Expected goals 1.8 to 1.5

Full time

BurnleyBurnley

Ings 12'

Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 70%, draw 18%, Burnley win 12%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 11. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man United and Burnley
Man UnitedBurnley
1.81.5
3Goals1
1.61.2