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Newcastle United v Southampton, Premier League 2014–15

NewcastleNewcastle United

Gouffran 29'

Final score 1 to 2

Expected goals 1.1 to 0.5

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Elia 14', 62'

Win chances: Southampton favored. Newcastle win 28%, draw 26%, Southampton win 46%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 17. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Newcastle and Southampton
NewcastleSouthampton
1.10.5
1Goals2
1.80.9