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Newcastle United v Stoke City, Premier League 2014–15

NewcastleNewcastle United

Colback 74'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.8 to 0.3

Full time

StokeStoke City

Crouch 90'

Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 39%, draw 27%, Stoke win 34%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 8. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Newcastle and Stoke
NewcastleStoke
0.80.3
1Goals1
1.70.8