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Southampton v Arsenal, Premier League 2014–15

SouthamptonSouthampton

Mané 34'Tadic 56'

Final score 2 to 0

Expected goals 1.4 to 0.7

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Win chances: Southampton favored. Southampton win 39%, draw 25%, Arsenal win 36%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Southampton and Arsenal
SouthamptonArsenal
1.40.7
2Goals0
1.90.8