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Stoke City v Aston Villa, Premier League 2014–15

StokeStoke City

Final score 0 to 1

Expected goals 0.9 to 0.8

Full time

Aston VillaAston Villa

Weimann 50'

Win chances: Stoke favored. Stoke win 55%, draw 23%, Aston Villa win 22%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 16. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Stoke and Aston Villa
StokeAston Villa
0.90.8
0Goals1
1.41.3