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Stoke City v Swansea City, Premier League 2014–15

StokeStoke City

Adam 43' penaltyWalters 76'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 2.0 to 2.1

Full time

SwanseaSwansea City

Bony 34' penalty

Win chances: Stoke favored. Stoke win 43%, draw 25%, Swansea win 32%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 19. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Stoke and Swansea
StokeSwansea
2.02.1
2Goals1
1.31.5