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Sunderland v Arsenal, Premier League 2014–15

SunderlandSunderland

Final score 0 to 2

Expected goals 0.8 to 1.2

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Sánchez 30', 90+2'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Sunderland win 23%, draw 22%, Arsenal win 55%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 25. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Sunderland and Arsenal
SunderlandArsenal
0.81.2
0Goals2
1.01.7