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Sunderland v Everton, Premier League 2014–15

SunderlandSunderland

Larsson 67'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.6 to 1.6

Full time

EvertonEverton

Baines 76' penalty

Win chances: Everton favored. Sunderland win 28%, draw 24%, Everton win 48%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 9. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Sunderland and Everton
SunderlandEverton
0.61.6
1Goals1
0.72.1