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Sunderland v Newcastle United, Premier League 2014–15

SunderlandSunderland

Defoe 45+1'

Final score 1 to 0

Expected goals 1.3 to 0.7

Full time

NewcastleNewcastle United

Win chances: Sunderland favored. Sunderland win 41%, draw 28%, Newcastle win 31%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 5. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Sunderland and Newcastle
SunderlandNewcastle
1.30.7
1Goals0
1.80.9