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Sunderland v Stoke City, Premier League 2014–15

SunderlandSunderland

Wickham 4'Fletcher 23', 79'

Final score 3 to 1

Expected goals 0.7 to 0.9

Full time

StokeStoke City

Adam 15'

Win chances: Sunderland favored. Sunderland win 38%, draw 27%, Stoke win 35%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Sunderland and Stoke
SunderlandStoke
0.70.9
3Goals1
1.11.5