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Swansea City v Arsenal, Premier League 2014–15

SwanseaSwansea City

Sigurdsson 75'Gomis 78'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 0.6 to 1.6

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Sánchez 63'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Swansea win 30%, draw 23%, Arsenal win 47%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 9. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Swansea and Arsenal
SwanseaArsenal
0.61.6
2Goals1
0.62.1