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Swansea City v Chelsea, Premier League 2014–15

SwanseaSwansea City

Final score 0 to 5

Expected goals 0.5 to 1.8

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Oscar 1', 36'Costa 20', 34'Schürrle 79'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Swansea win 19%, draw 23%, Chelsea win 58%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 17. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Swansea and Chelsea
SwanseaChelsea
0.51.8
0Goals5
0.52.3