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Tottenham Hotspur v Chelsea, Premier League 2014–15

TottenhamTottenham Hotspur

Kane 30', 52'Rose 44'Townsend 45+4' penaltyChadli 78'

Final score 5 to 3

Expected goals 1.6 to 2.7

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Costa 18'Hazard 61'Terry 87'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Tottenham win 21%, draw 23%, Chelsea win 56%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Tottenham and Chelsea
TottenhamChelsea
1.62.7
5Goals3
0.82.0