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Arsenal v Everton, Premier League 2015–16

ArsenalArsenal

Giroud 36'Koscielny 38'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 1.8 to 0.8

Full time

EvertonEverton

Barkley 44'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 65%, draw 20%, Everton win 15%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 24. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Everton
ArsenalEverton
1.80.8
2Goals1
2.10.7