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Arsenal v Manchester City, Premier League 2015–16

ArsenalArsenal

Walcott 33'Giroud 45+1'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 0.7 to 1.6

Full time

Man CityManchester City

Touré 82'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 49%, draw 23%, Man City win 28%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Man City
ArsenalMan City
0.71.6
2Goals1
0.82.0