Arsenal v Newcastle United, Premier League 2015–16
ArsenalArsenal
Koscielny 72'
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 1.6 to 1.4
NewcastleNewcastle United
- Date Saturday, January 2, 2016
- Premier League 2015–16
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 2. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 79%, draw 14%, Newcastle win 7%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 2. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.4 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 1.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.3 | ||