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Arsenal v Sunderland, Premier League 2015–16

ArsenalArsenal

Campbell 33'Giroud 63'Ramsey 90+3'

Final score 3 to 1

Expected goals 1.6 to 1.2

Full time

SunderlandSunderland

Giroud 45' (OG)

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 80%, draw 13%, Sunderland win 7%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 5. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Sunderland
ArsenalSunderland
1.61.2
3Goals1
1.61.1