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Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur, Premier League 2015–16

ArsenalArsenal

Gibbs 77'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 1.5 to 1.1

Full time

TottenhamTottenham Hotspur

Kane 32'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 65%, draw 19%, Tottenham win 16%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 8. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Tottenham
ArsenalTottenham
1.51.1
1Goals1
1.71.1