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Aston Villa v Chelsea, Premier League 2015–16

Aston VillaAston Villa

Final score 0 to 4

Expected goals 0.9 to 2.0

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Loftus-Cheek 26'Pato 45+3' penaltyPedro 46', 59'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Aston Villa win 17%, draw 24%, Chelsea win 59%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 2. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Aston Villa and Chelsea
Aston VillaChelsea
0.92.0
0Goals4
0.72.1