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Aston Villa v Southampton, Premier League 2015–16

Aston VillaAston Villa

Westwood 45+1', 85'

Final score 2 to 4

Expected goals 1.4 to 1.9

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Long 15'Tadic 39', 71'Mané 90+4'

Win chances: Southampton favored. Aston Villa win 19%, draw 27%, Southampton win 54%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 23. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Aston Villa and Southampton
Aston VillaSouthampton
1.41.9
2Goals4
1.11.7