Aston Villa v Stoke City, Premier League 2015–16
Aston VillaAston Villa
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 0.7 to 1.0
StokeStoke City
Arnautovic 55'
- Date Saturday, October 3, 2015
- Premier League 2015–16
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 3. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 37%, draw 27%, Stoke win 36%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Stoke | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.0 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.5 | ||