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Aston Villa v Sunderland, Premier League 2015–16

Aston VillaAston Villa

Sinclair 11' penalty, 41'

Final score 2 to 2

Expected goals 2.4 to 0.6

Full time

SunderlandSunderland

M'vila 8'Lens 52'

Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 43%, draw 28%, Sunderland win 29%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 29. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Aston Villa and Sunderland
Aston VillaSunderland
2.40.6
2Goals2
2.50.4