Aston Villa v Swansea City, Premier League 2015–16
Aston VillaAston Villa
Ayew 62'
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 0.8 to 0.9
SwanseaSwansea City
Sigurdsson 68'Ayew 87'
- Date Saturday, October 24, 2015
- Premier League 2015–16
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 24. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 37%, draw 28%, Swansea win 35%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 24. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Swansea | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.9 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.5 | ||