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AFC Bournemouth v Aston Villa, Premier League 2015–16

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

Final score 0 to 1

Expected goals 0.8 to 0.5

Full time

Aston VillaAston Villa

Gestede 72'

Win chances: Bournemouth favored. Bournemouth win 55%, draw 24%, Aston Villa win 21%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 8. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Bournemouth and Aston Villa
BournemouthAston Villa
0.80.5
0Goals1
1.61.1