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Chelsea v Arsenal, Premier League 2015–16

ChelseaChelsea

Zouma 53'Chambers 90+1' (OG)

Final score 2 to 0

Expected goals 1.9 to 0.6

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 39%, draw 25%, Arsenal win 36%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 19. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Chelsea and Arsenal
ChelseaArsenal
1.90.6
2Goals0
2.30.5