Chelsea v Aston Villa, Premier League 2015–16
ChelseaChelsea
Costa 34'Hutton 54' (OG)
Final score 2 to 0
Expected goals 0.7 to 0.9
Aston VillaAston Villa
- Date Saturday, October 17, 2015
- Premier League 2015–16
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 17. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 67%, draw 20%, Aston Villa win 13%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 17. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.9 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 1.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.4 | ||