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Chelsea v Southampton, Premier League 2015–16

ChelseaChelsea

Willian 10'

Final score 1 to 3

Expected goals 0.4 to 1.3

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Davis 43'Mané 60'Pellè 72'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 55%, draw 23%, Southampton win 22%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Chelsea and Southampton
ChelseaSouthampton
0.41.3
1Goals3
0.62.1