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Chelsea v Watford, Premier League 2015–16

ChelseaChelsea

Costa 32', 65'

Final score 2 to 2

Expected goals 2.3 to 1.6

Full time

WatfordWatford

Deeney 42' penaltyCahill 56' (OG)

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 49%, draw 28%, Watford win 23%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Chelsea and Watford
ChelseaWatford
2.31.6
2Goals2
1.81.0