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Everton v Aston Villa, Premier League 2015–16

EvertonEverton

Barkley 17', 42'Lukaku 28', 59'

Final score 4 to 0

Expected goals 1.9 to 0.7

Full time

Aston VillaAston Villa

Win chances: Everton favored. Everton win 57%, draw 25%, Aston Villa win 18%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Everton and Aston Villa
EvertonAston Villa
1.90.7
4Goals0
2.20.6