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Everton v Liverpool, Premier League 2015–16

EvertonEverton

Lukaku 45+1'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.8 to 1.7

Full time

LiverpoolLiverpool

Ings 41'

Win chances: Everton favored. Everton win 40%, draw 26%, Liverpool win 34%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Everton and Liverpool
EvertonLiverpool
0.81.7
1Goals1
0.82.0