Everton v Stoke City, Premier League 2015–16
EvertonEverton
Lukaku 22', 64'Deulofeu 71'
Final score 3 to 4
Expected goals 1.8 to 1.4
StokeStoke City
Shaqiri 16', 45'Joselu 80'Arnautovic 90+1' penalty
- Date Monday, December 28, 2015
- Premier League 2015–16
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 28. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Everton favored. Everton win 46%, draw 26%, Stoke win 28%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 28. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Everton | Stoke | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.4 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 4 | ||
| 1.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.1 | ||